The stock market has obviously taken a turn for the better since its first quarter lows. In early March the stock market fell to its lowest level in 12 years. While much could be said and written about how and why the market lost so much value so quickly, it is interesting to note how the stock market in its infinite resiliency always comes back.
Have you ever wondered why? Because, despite all the markets risk, negativity, and volatility the stock market remains one of the best investment vehicles available. Secondarily, the markets thrive on a foundational principle of business, supply and demand. Essentially there are always people on the sidelines looking to buy and there are always people looking to sell. Trying to find the best place to either buy or sell is what sustains the market and there is a significant number of traders on either side.
No matter your position in a given market you will always be looking for a place to either enter or exit the market. Let’s assume that you did not hold a big position in any stocks during the downtrend of the last two years. This investor is looking to capitalize on lower prices and a potential for bigger gains. Now to be sure there is nothing in any economic data that suggest that the market is in store for a long-term recovery. Yet the market sustains itself with investors trying to find a bottom to the market.
Now take a look at the investor who did hold a sizable position in a recent downturn. This investor either sold or held his positions as the market continued its decline. What motive does this investor have? This investor is seeking to regain a position once held or trying to recover from a loss taken from selling on the way down. Again, the market will rise based on demand. This example applies to traders who buy long positions in stocks, but could easily be applied to short sellers.
No matter if you are trading long or short, options trading , trading currencies, mutual funds, ETF’s or anything in between supply and demand is what controls everything.